Arguvanspor vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
17º
17º
28
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
66% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguvanspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 3
ABS
46%
21%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ABS
2 - 2
ANK
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BER
5 - 1
ABS
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ABS
1 - 1
SIO
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BYC
3 - 1
ABS
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 1
AKB
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TEP
3 - 1
FAT
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 1
KEP
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AHP
1 - 0
FAT
49%
28%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 2
YAK
25%
27%
49%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |