Arguvanspor vs Aliaga FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+293%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
14º
14º
66
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arguvanspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 0
ABS
62%
20%
17%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 4
AYV
18%
24%
58%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MBB
1 - 1
ABS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ABS
0 - 2
TAR
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AHP
3 - 0
ABS
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aliaga FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 0
AHP
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KUC
0 - 1
AFK
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 1
YOR
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 4
AFK
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 0
KIY
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |