Arges Futbol vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
73.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arges Futbol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MEN
5 - 1
ARG
25%
20%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
POL
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDL
4 - 1
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
PUE
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CON
3 - 3
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
CDE
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PTO
0 - 1
ORG
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MEN
1 - 5
PTO
8%
15%
78%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PTO
3 - 0
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDL
1 - 1
PTO
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |