Argentinos Juniors vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 3
QUI
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GOD
0 - 0
ARG
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 2
ARS
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
ARG
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SJO
1 - 0
SPB
30%
29%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
3 - 0
TFE
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 1
SPB
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 1
GAF
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 3
SPB
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |