Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-0
Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 1
CEN
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 0
ARG
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ARG
3 - 0
LAN
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
ARG
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
ARG
2 - 0
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GIM
2 - 2
SLO
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SLO
3 - 2
BAN
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
OLI
3 - 2
SLO
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
SLO
2 - 1
COL
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
LIG
1 - 1
SLO
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |