Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
CEN
0 - 0
ARG
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ARG
5 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
BAN
2 - 2
ARG
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 2
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
QUI
2 - 0
ARG
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
SLO
0 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOB
4 - 0
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SLO
1 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
ATL
0 - 1
SLO
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
SLO
3 - 3
BOC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |