Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
EST
2 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 1
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
VEL
0 - 2
ARG
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
ARG
0 - 0
NOB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
EST
0 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NOB
1 - 1
IND
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 1
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
IND
1 - 1
BOC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |