Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
DRO
1 - 0
ARG
19%
25%
56%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 0
RAC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARG
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
GLP
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CAU
2 - 1
ARG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
IND
2 - 2
VEL
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
DRO
0 - 2
IND
10%
21%
68%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
ALB
1 - 4
IND
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
IND
1 - 2
SLO
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CEN
3 - 1
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |