Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-1
Argentinos Juniors vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 2
CEN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 3
ARG
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
ARG
4 - 1
DHA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
SLO
2 - 3
ARG
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
MON
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
MET
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRU
0 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
APC
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |