Argentinos Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
COL
1 - 1
ARG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ARG
1 - 1
RAC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALB
0 - 0
ARG
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ARG
0 - 1
AHZ
77%
14%
8%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1979 |
VEL
4 - 0
ARG
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
VEL
3 - 1
CAU
49%
26%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
IND
0 - 1
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VEL
3 - 1
FER
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LLG
0 - 0
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
RIV
5 - 1
VEL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |