Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CHA
2 - 3
ARG
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 2
BAN
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
PLA
2 - 2
ARG
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
QUI
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
HUR
1 - 2
ARG
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CEN
3 - 0
VEL
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
NOB
3 - 1
CEN
60%
24%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
CEN
3 - 0
EST
69%
20%
10%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 0
CEN
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CEN
0 - 1
BOC
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |