Arg. Rosario vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CBA
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 3
ARR
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 1
MUÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
ARR
61%
22%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 1
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
YUP
2 - 0
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 0
JUU
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
VIC
71%
19%
10%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VIC
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |