Arg. Rosario vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DPA
0 - 4
ARR
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SAC
5 - 2
ARR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
CBA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 2
ARR
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
MUÑ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
DPA
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |