Arg. Rosario vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 1
ARR
42%
27%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
YUP
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DPA
2 - 1
ARR
40%
28%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CBA
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
ARR
39%
28%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 2
ALE
48%
27%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
CBA
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
MUÑ
1 - 4
ALE
39%
28%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
CAA
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
JUU
0 - 1
ALE
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |