Arg. Rosario vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 1
ARR
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 0
YUP
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
ARR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 3
JUU
36%
28%
37%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
5 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
RIE
2 - 1
MUÑ
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
RIE
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CLA
1 - 2
RIE
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
RIE
4 - 1
DPA
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CES
0 - 4
RIE
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |