Arg. Rosario vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 2
MUÑ
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
JUU
1 - 1
ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CBA
2 - 1
ARR
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ARR
0 - 0
CES
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAM
26%
25%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 3
LIN
19%
26%
55%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
YUP
2 - 1
DPA
45%
26%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 1
LUG
48%
25%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SBA
0 - 0
DPA
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
DPA
0 - 3
PUE
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |