Arg. Rosario vs Dep. Paraguayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
CLA
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
JUU
1 - 0
ARR
42%
28%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
ARM
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PUE
0 - 1
ARR
30%
28%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
LIN
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Paraguayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
DPA
2 - 1
LIN
24%
26%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 1
DPA
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DPA
1 - 0
YUP
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
DPA
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DPA
1 - 1
CBA
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |