Arg. Rosario vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
ARR
33%
27%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
RPI
1 - 0
ARR
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
DPA
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
CLA
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
JUU
1 - 0
ARR
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
MUÑ
2 - 1
YUP
63%
21%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
MUÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 1
MUÑ
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
CBA
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |