Arg. Rosario vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
ARR
35%
27%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
CAA
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +4 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 0
ARR
55%
24%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
PUE
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 1
ARR
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
CLA
1 - 0
MUÑ
48%
26%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
YUP
1 - 3
MUÑ
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
DPA
43%
27%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
CBA
0 - 1
MUÑ
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MUÑ
2 - 2
VIC
26%
27%
47%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |