Arg. Rosario vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
YUP
2 - 1
ARR
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
3 - 1
CAM
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
CBA
0 - 0
ARR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
CAA
2 - 2
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
ARR
1 - 0
MUÑ
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 2
LIN
35%
27%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
YUP
0 - 0
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
LUG
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
CBA
45%
24%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
RPI
0 - 1
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |