Arg. Rosario vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 0
ARR
29%
29%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
4 - 1
MUÑ
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PUE
0 - 0
ARR
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
DPA
69%
20%
12%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
YUP
0 - 2
ARR
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 5
LIN
29%
29%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JUU
1 - 3
LUG
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
VIC
17%
26%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LAM
3 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARM
3 - 2
LUG
50%
27%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |