Arg. Rosario vs CA Atlas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
3 - 0
ARR
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
SMG
45%
26%
30%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
ARR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
ITU
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
MUÑ
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 0
MUÑ
81%
14%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CES
0 - 1
CAA
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
CAA
3 - 0
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
2 - 0
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
0 - 1
SMA
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -3 |