Arg. Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
24.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
2º
25
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 3
ARR
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
NOB
5%
17%
77%
|
36 | 83 | 47 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 2
MER
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARR
18%
20%
62%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 1
JUU
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
SBA
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
CES
2 - 1
SBA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SBA
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
SBA
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |