Arg. Rosario vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
ARR
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
ARR
70%
19%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
DPA
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ARR
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
SBA
2 - 0
CES
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 2
SBA
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
SBA
1 - 0
YUP
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 0
SBA
28%
27%
45%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SBA
1 - 1
CLA
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |