Primera B Metro. Ascenso Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Arg. Quilmes vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARQ
2 - 0
AND
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AND
0 - 1
ARQ
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ARQ
1 - 1
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARQ
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 0
ARQ
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SMG
0 - 0
ARM
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
SMG
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SMG
0 - 1
TAL
37%
31%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
SMG
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 2
SMG
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |