Arg. Quilmes vs San Martín Burzaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
ARQ
3 - 2
CAD
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
SMG
2 - 0
ARQ
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
ARQ
1 - 1
POR
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CCO
2 - 0
ARQ
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
ARQ
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 2
ITA
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
CAD
2 - 2
SMA
67%
19%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 2
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
LUJ
1 - 2
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |