Arg. Quilmes vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JUU
1 - 1
ARQ
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARQ
5 - 2
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
STM
0 - 0
ARQ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
ARQ
46%
27%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
CAM
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
SAC
66%
20%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 2
CCO
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TAL
3 - 1
SAC
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |