Arg. Quilmes vs JJ Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
STM
0 - 0
ARQ
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
ARQ
46%
27%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARQ
0 - 0
LUJ
74%
18%
8%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 1
ARQ
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JJU
2 - 0
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 2
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
JJU
1 - 2
CCO
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
MID
1 - 2
JJU
37%
28%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
JJU
1 - 0
SAC
52%
24%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |