Arg. Quilmes vs JJ Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
CAD
2 - 3
ARQ
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 1
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 3
LAM
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
1 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
MID
2 - 0
ARQ
28%
25%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
JJU
1 - 0
SAC
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
JJU
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
JJU
1 - 1
STM
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 1
JJU
63%
21%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
JJU
0 - 2
LUJ
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -3 |