Arg. Quilmes vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TAL
3 - 0
ARQ
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARQ
2 - 1
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
CAD
2 - 3
ARQ
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 1
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 3
LAM
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ITU
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
LAF
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
LUJ
41%
29%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |