Arg. Quilmes vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
ARQ
36%
26%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
ARQ
0 - 1
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CCO
1 - 2
ARQ
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARQ
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
SAC
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
STM
48%
26%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
LUJ
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |