Arg. Quilmes vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
ARQ
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 0
ARQ
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 1
ARQ
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ARQ
2 - 0
DOC
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
RIE
1 - 1
ARQ
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
SAC
33%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 3
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
STM
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 0
LAF
34%
29%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |