Arg. Quilmes vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
MID
0 - 0
ARQ
33%
26%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
ARQ
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 0
CAÑ
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
ARQ
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 3
SMG
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 3
ITA
16%
24%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
ARM
66%
21%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CAD
0 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
LUJ
0 - 0
ARM
59%
22%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |