Argentino Peñarol vs Unión Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VSR
1 - 2
ARG
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ALP
1 - 1
ARG
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
0 - 0
GPJ
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARG
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
ATL
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 1
UNI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
83%
12%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
UNI
9%
18%
73%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
SMA
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |