Argentino Merlo vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
JUU
0 - 1
ARM
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 2
ARM
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CCO
1 - 4
ARM
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
STM
4 - 1
ARM
56%
24%
20%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
LAF
1 - 0
ARQ
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 1
CCO
74%
17%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 1
ARQ
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARQ
1 - 0
STM
48%
25%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
ARQ
31%
25%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |