Argentina U23 vs Paraguay U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
ARG
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 4
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 2
VEN
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
RDO
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
RDO
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
VEN
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |