Argentina SSD vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina SSD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 2
BOR
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIN
0 - 3
ARG
48%
22%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
LIG
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
VOG
0 - 3
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 7
LAV
12%
23%
65%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAB
6 - 1
NOV
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 2
FEZ
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
NOV
83%
13%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |