Arganda vs Orcasitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RIV
2 - 3
ARG
30%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ARG
0 - 1
CLA
73%
16%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SMP
3 - 2
ARG
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ARG
4 - 1
PNT
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
EMV
0 - 5
ARG
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARG
0 - 2
ORC
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ORC
2 - 2
RIV
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ORC
4 - 1
VVB
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CLA
0 - 2
ORC
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ORC
3 - 0
VCJ
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |