Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Arganda vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SAL
5 - 1
ARG
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ARG
2 - 0
LPA
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDT
3 - 1
ARG
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 1
ARG
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ARG
4 - 1
ALC
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +3 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ACF
2 - 0
CDT
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 0
SAL
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CDT
3 - 1
ARG
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
LPA
3 - 0
CDT
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 2
TAL
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |