Ocniţa vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
83.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 0
FCO
22%
19%
59%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 2
VCU
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
FCT
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
EFV
0 - 1
ARO
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ARO
2 - 1
CFS
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCD
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
MIL
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
ZAR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 1
MIL
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SHF
2 - 0
MIL
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |