Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
Aretxabaleta vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
MIR
0 - 0
ATX
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
ATX
1 - 1
RMC
21%
28%
51%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
ATX
1 - 2
COL
28%
27%
45%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 2
EIB
24%
28%
48%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
BAS
2 - 3
ATX
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
RMC
1 - 1
EIB
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
EIB
3 - 1
AND
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
RSO
5 - 1
EIB
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 2
EIB
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
ARE
0 - 0
EIB
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |