Aretxabaleta vs Beasain KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
8º
32
5º
17º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 3
ATX
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATX
1 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 2
ATX
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ATX
2 - 1
LEI
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATX
3 - 1
CDP
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Beasain KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 1
CSV
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BEA
54%
26%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
3 - 3
SDE
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
BEA
38%
25%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
DEU
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |