AREPA vs Samora Correia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AREPA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 1
ARE
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARE
3 - 2
VPE
39%
23%
38%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
ARE
80%
13%
8%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 4
GOL
31%
23%
46%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 0
ARE
59%
21%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Samora Correia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 2
GLO
34%
24%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
MOC
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VPE
0 - 3
SAM
12%
18%
70%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GOL
0 - 2
SAM
18%
21%
62%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |