Arenteiro vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
BER
2 - 0
ARE
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
ARE
0 - 2
CUL
34%
27%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
ARO
5 - 2
ARE
71%
20%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ARE
0 - 0
RCF
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARE
77%
16%
7%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 1
LEM
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
CDO
1 - 2
LUG
59%
26%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
BER
0 - 5
LUG
41%
30%
29%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
LUG
1 - 0
CUL
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1988 |
SSC
1 - 1
LUG
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |