Arenas De Vega vs Atlético Pinilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas De Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 4
CDA
11%
16%
74%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 2
VIR
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
CDA
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 1
NAR
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Pinilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
TOR
85%
10%
6%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATL
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
CDE
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ATL
51%
19%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 6
SBE
26%
19%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |