Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Arenas de Getxo vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
15.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1931 |
ARE
4 - 0
OVI
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
OVI
1 - 2
ARE
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ARE
5 - 1
RAC
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
RAC
0 - 2
ARE
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
RAC
4 - 1
ARE
51%
20%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1931 |
FCB
1 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 2
FCB
31%
23%
47%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
ISC
4 - 3
VCF
34%
24%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
VCF
2 - 0
ISC
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
VCF
6 - 0
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |