Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-1
Arenas de Getxo vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1927 |
FCB
3 - 4
ARE
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1927 |
RUN
1 - 0
ARE
65%
19%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1927 |
ARE
3 - 2
CEL
42%
23%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
CEL
3 - 1
ARE
71%
17%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ARE
3 - 1
CEL
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
RUN
2 - 3
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
ISC
3 - 4
RUN
31%
23%
46%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RUN
3 - 1
RSO
52%
21%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 7
RUN
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
EUR
0 - 3
RUN
27%
23%
51%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |