Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-15
Arenas de Getxo vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SLA
4 - 0
ARE
52%
21%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
ARE
79%
13%
9%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 2
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
SPO
4 - 0
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 0
RUN
59%
19%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARE
3 - 2
BAR
64%
19%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
RSO
4 - 1
BAR
87%
9%
5%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
2 - 2
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |