Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Arenas de Getxo vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
46.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Getxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ARE
6 - 0
RSO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
8 - 2
ARE
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ARE
3 - 3
BET
66%
17%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 1
ARE
36%
23%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
RAC
2 - 1
ARE
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
8%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
FCB
2 - 3
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 2
RSO
81%
11%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
ATH
4 - 0
ALA
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |