Arenas de Armilla vs Vélez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
UDS
4 - 0
ARE
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARE
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
3 - 1
NIJ
17%
26%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
EST
4 - 0
ARE
86%
11%
4%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARE
3 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
VEL
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 3
PAL
24%
24%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
VEL
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
MAL
18%
24%
59%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HUE
3 - 0
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |